Netherlands Institute of International Relations, NL
Drs. Hans H.J. Labohm is an independent economist and author specialised in climate issues. He is expert reviewer of the IPCC, former dpt. Foreign Policy Planning Advisor at the Netherlands Ministry of Foreign Affairs, former dpt. Permanent Representative of the Netherlands to the OECD, former Senior Visiting Fellow and Advisor to the Board (Clingendael). He is lead author of: ‘Man-Made Global Warming: Unravelling a Dogma’, MultiScience Publishing Company, 2004.
This article starts from the premise that the man-made global warming hypothesis, which constitutes the scientific underpinning of the Kyoto Protocol, that expires in 2012, is fundamentally flawed. It nevertheless presents two scenarios of a possible ‘Son of Kyoto’: ‘Europe’s Alleingang’ and ‘World-Wide Kyoto Participation’. Both scenarios promise great sacrifice, whereas neither of them will have a detectable impact on worldwide temperatures. All pain and no gain. The article further analyses the positions of the major players in the run-up to the international climate conference in Copenhagen in December 2009. It concludes that these are so far apart that this event will most likely end in a deadlock. In that light, the author recommends the EU to reconsider its position, since it has isolated itself from the rest of the world with its costly and ineffective climate policy.